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BUY PROCESS
Step 1: Top-Down Analysis:
I am first and foremost a "top-down" money manager. I consider what
industries and sectors will benefit from powerful wheels of change, which are
always in motion. I first look at history and from it try’s to decipher
what is fact from what is opinion, from the facts I draw my own conclusions.
I then formulate trend lines from the past and extend them into the future.
My goal is to position portfolios along those trend lines.
I look at industries and sectors, which stand to benefit from broad sweeping
economic, political and social demographical trends or technology advances. I
work to determine the benefactors of change. Once change is identified, I
consider companies who are the industry leaders and before I invest, I must
see a strategic edge over alternative investments in the same or similar
business.
Step 2 Quantitative Analysis:
The objective of my second step is to identify companies based upon
their stock’s relative performance. I prefer stocks that have shown
strong relative strength and we try to avoid individual stocks that may be
trading in a downward trend. I believe the health of a company’s stocks
is directly correlated to the health and well being of the corporate entity.
Step 3 Fundamental Analysis:
My fundamental analysis focuses upon finding those companies with sustainable
growth in sales and earnings. Specifically, I am looking for highly
defensible and competitive advantages in fast growing markets with superior
corporate management.
“I
examine balance sheet strength, as well as overall quality of earnings and
assets. Particular attention is paid to a company's position in its markets
and its reputation. The quality and acceptance of its products or services
and the nature of the company's competition give us clues as to potential
growth prospects.”
SELL DISCIPLINE
I regularly review positions on a technical and fundamental basis. Four
events can trigger the sale of a security held in a portfolio. The first, and
most frequently occurring reason, is poor performance relative to the
portfolio's benchmark or Industry sector. Second, favoring a candidate deemed
to have higher potential for sustained growth. Third, a negative change in
the fundamental outlook of the security or it group and fourth, an increase
in the risk characteristics of the stock identified by an in-depth study or
review.
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